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Jack Higgins, CFA, and Tim Tyler, CFA, are analysts for Integrated Analytics (LA), a U.S.-based investment

analysis firm. JA provides bond analysis for both individual and institutional portfolio managers throughout the

world. The firm specializes in the valuation of international bonds, with consideration of currency risk. IA

typically uses forward contracts to hedge currency risk.

Higgins and Tyler are considering the purchase of a bond issued by a Norwegian petroleum products firm,

Bergen Petroleum. They have concerns, however, regarding the strength of the Norwegian krone currency

(NKr) in the near term, and they want to investigate the potential return from hedged strategies. Higgins

suggests that they consider forward contracts with the same maturity as the investment holding period, which is

estimated at one year. He states that if IA expects the Norwegian NKr to depreciate and that the Swedish krona

(Sk) to appreciate, then IA should enter into a hedge where they sell Norwegian NKr and buy Swedish Sk via a

one-year forward contract. The Swedish Sk could then be converted to dollars at the spot rate in one year.

Tyler states that if an investor cannot obtain a forward contract denominated in Norwegian NKr and if the

Norwegian NKr and euro are positively correlated, then a forward contract should be entered into where euros

will be exchanged for dollars in one year. Tyler then provides Higgins the following data on risk-free rates and

spot rates in Norway and the U.S., as well as the expected return on the Bergen Petroleum bond.

Return on Bergen Petroleum bond in Norwegian NKr 7.00%

Risk-free rate in Norway 4.80%

Expected change in the NKr relative to the U.S. dollar -0.40%

Risk-free rate in United States 2.50%

Higgins and Tyler discuss the relationship between spot rates and forward rates and comment as follows.

• Higgins: "The relationship between spot rates and forward rates is referred to as interest rate parity, where

higher forward rates imply that a country's spot rate will increase in the future."

• Tyler: "Interest rate parity depends on covered interest arbitrage which works as follows. Suppose the 1-year

U.K. interest rate is 5.5%, the 1-year Japanese interest rate is 2.3%, the Japanese yen is at a one-year forward

premium of 4.1%, and transactions costs are minimal. In this case, the international trader should borrow yen.

Invest in pound denominated bonds, and use a yen-pound forward contract to pay back the yen loan."

The following day, Higgins and Tyler discuss various emerging market bond strategies and make the following

statements.

• Higgins: "Over time, the quality in emerging market sovereign bonds has declined, due in part to contagion

and the competitive devaluations that often accompany crises in emerging markets. When one country

devalues their currency, others often quickly follow and as a result the countries default on their external debt,

which is usually denominated in a hard currency."

• Tyler: "Investing outside the index can provide excess returns. Because the most common emerging market

Which of the following statements provides the best description of the advantage of using breakeven spread analysis? Breakeven spread analysis: 

William Bliss, CFA, runs a hedge fund that uses both managed futures strategies and positions in physical

commodities. He is reviewing his operations and strategies to increase the return of the fund. Bliss has just

hired Joseph Kanter, CFA, to help him manage the fund because he realizes that he needs to increase his

trading activity in futures and to engage in futures strategies other than fully hedged, passively managed

positions. Bliss also hired Kanter because of Kantcr's experience with swaps, which Bliss hopes to add to his

choice of investment tools.

Bliss explains to Kanter that his clients pay 2% on assets under management and a 20% incentive fee. The

incentive fee is based on profits after having subtracted the risk-free rate, which is the fund's basic hurdle rate,

and there is a high water mark provision. Bliss is hoping that Kanter can help his business because his firm did

not earn an incentive fee this past year. This was the case despite the fact that, after two years of losses, the

value of the fund increased 14% during the previous year. That increase occurred without any new capital

contributed from clients. Bliss is optimistic about the near future because the term structure of futures prices is

particularly favorable for earning higher returns from long futures positions.

Kanter says he has seen research that indicates inflation may increase in the next few years. He states this

should increase the opportunity to earn a higher return in commodities and suggests taking a large, margined

position in a broad commodity index. This would offer an enhanced return that would attract investors holding

only stocks and bonds. Bliss mentions that not all commodity prices are positively correlated with inflation so it

may be better to choose particular types of commodities in which to invest. Furthermore, Bliss adds that

commodities traditionally have not outperformed stocks and bonds either on a risk-adjusted or absolute basis.

Kanter says he will research companies who do business in commodities, because buying the stock of those

companies to gain commodity exposure is an efficient and effective method for gaining indirect exposure to

commodities.

Bliss agrees that his fund should increase its exposure to commodities and wants Kanter's help in using swaps

to gain such exposure. Bliss asks Kanter to enter into a swap with a relatively short horizon to demonstrate how

a commodity swap works. Bliss notes that the futures prices of oil for six months, one year, eighteen months,

and two years are $55, S54, $52, and $5 1 per barrel, respectively, and the risk-free rate is less than 2%.

Bliss asks how a seasonal component could be added to such a swap. Specifically, he asks if either the

Andre Hickock, CFA, is a newly hired fixed income portfolio manager for Deadwood Investments, LLC. Hickock

is reviewing the portfolios of several pension clients that have been assigned to him to manage. The first

portfolio, Montana Hardware, Inc., has the characteristics shown in Figure 1.

Garrison Investments is a money management firm focusing on endowment management for small colleges

and universities. Over the past 20 years, the firm has primarily invested in U.S. securities with small allocations

to high quality long-term foreign government bonds. Garrison's largest account, Point University, has a market

value of $800 million and an asset allocation as detailed in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Point University Asset Allocation

*Bond coupon payments are all semiannual. Managers at Garrison are concerned that expectations for a strengthening U.S. dollar relative to the British pound could negatively impact returns to Point University's U.K. bond allocation. Therefore, managers have collected information on swap and exchange rates. Currently, the swap rates in the United States and the United Kingdom are 4.9% and 5.3%, respectively. The spot exchange rate is 0.45 GBP/USD. The U.K. bonds are currently trading at face value. Garrison recently convinced the board of trustees at Point University that the endowment should allocate a portion of the portfolio into international equities, specifically European equities. The board has agreed to the plan but wants the allocation to international equities to be a short-term tactical move. Managers at Garrison have put together the following proposal for the reallocation: To minimize trading costs while gaining exposure to international equities, the portfolio can use futures contracts on the domestic 12-month mid-cap equity index and on the 12-month European equity index. This strategy will temporarily exchange $80 million of U.S. mid-cap exposure for European equity index exposure. Relevant data on the futures contracts are provided in Figure 2. Figure 2: Mid-cap index and European Index Futures Data

Daniel Castillo and Ramon Diaz are chief investment officers at Advanced Advisors (AA), a boutique fixedincome firm based in the United States. AA employs numerous quantitative models to invest in both domestic

and international securities.

During the week, Castillo and Diaz consult with one of their investors, Sally Michaels. Michaels currently holds a

$10,000,000 fixed-income position that is selling at par. The maturity is 20 years, and the coupon rate of 7% is

paid semiannually. Her coupons can be reinvested at 8%. Castillo is looking at various interest rate change

scenarios, and one such scenario is where the interest rate on the bonds immediately changes to 8%.

Diaz is considering using a repurchase agreement to leverage Michaels's portfolio. Michaels is concerned,

however, with not understanding the factors that impact the interest rate, or repo rate, used in her strategy. In

response, Castillo explains the factors that affect the repo rate and makes the following statements:

1. "The repo rate is directly related to the maturity of the repo, inversely related to the quality of the collateral,

and directly related to the maturity of the collateral. U.S. Treasury bills are often purchased by Treasury dealers

using repo transactions, and since they have high liquidity, short maturities, and no default risk, the repo rate is

usually quite low. "

2. "The greater control the lender has over the collateral, the lower the repo rate. If the availability of the

collateral is limited, the repo rate will be higher."

Castillo consults with an institutional investor, the Washington Investment Fund, on the effect of leverage on